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Business cycles are usually measured by considering the growth rate of real gross domestic product. Despite the often-applied term cycles, these fluctuations in economic activity do not exhibit uniform or predictable periodicity. US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions. NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee. NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee. An inverted yield curve is often a harbinger of. When the yield curve is upward sloping, banks can profitably take-in short term deposits . The partisan business cycle suggests that cycles result from. The successive elections of administrations with different policy regimes.

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